Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.030215 0.032976 0.035702 0.038590 0.041558 0.044515 0.047678
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.025119 0.029604 0.034144 0.039060 0.044209 0.049424 0.055087
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.020632 0.026194 0.031957 0.038312 0.045073 0.052007 0.059618
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.017604 0.023962 0.030689 0.038223 0.046335 0.054736 0.064029
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.014935 0.021866 0.029354 0.037863 0.047126 0.056797 0.067567
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012544 0.019880 0.027981 0.037319 0.047589 0.058392 0.070493
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009923 0.017426 0.025939 0.035913 0.047006 0.058767 0.072021
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.008981 0.016881 0.025999 0.036786 0.048860 0.061719 0.076257
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007698 0.015816 0.025390 0.036849 0.049770 0.063599 0.079292
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006070 0.014181 0.024031 0.035995 0.049607 0.064264 0.080967
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.005172 0.013420 0.023665 0.036239 0.050635 0.066198 0.083986
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.004162 0.012408 0.022942 0.036031 0.051121 0.067508 0.086295
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003072 0.011265 0.022142 0.035866 0.051824 0.069244 0.089287
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002275 0.010477 0.021786 0.036254 0.053199 0.071778 0.093219
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001244 0.009049 0.020528 0.035515 0.053250 0.072813 0.095482
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000624 0.008114 0.019846 0.035426 0.054013 0.074611 0.098554
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000152 0.007102 0.018987 0.035076 0.054437 0.076000 0.101144
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006073 0.018022 0.034547 0.054619 0.077086 0.103370
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004706 0.016439 0.033180 0.053772 0.076977 0.104238
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004515 0.016609 0.034028 0.055532 0.079809 0.108364
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003974 0.016186 0.034090 0.056338 0.081539 0.111243
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003089 0.015107 0.033259 0.056051 0.082001 0.112684
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002718 0.014855 0.033497 0.057031 0.083899 0.115719